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We often fail to consider several obstacles when predicting mainstream adoption of an emerging technology, such as convenience, ease of use, cost, learning curve and social pressures. (Are my friends on this platform? Do I look stupid wearing this?)

But the most crucial overlooked predictor distinguishes a shiny fad from a revolutionary innovation: porn.

Think about history's most groundbreaking innovations in information technologythe printing press, daguerreotype, VHS, digital photography, instant messaging, e-commerce, video streaming, most social media platforms and ephemeral "story" contentand there's one thing they all have in common: They were first adopted by the purveyors of sexually explicit content.

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